I was wrong that the referendum would succeed outright. But in all fairness it wasn't too far off. With a realistic voter list it probably was anywhere from 42-48% turnout. If Albanians came out in higher numbers it very well could have passed the mark.
The boycott movement was successful in achieving a low turnout. The fact that 92% were yes votes is proof that their campaign worked flawlessly. You can credit it them that much. Unfortunately as we warned them form day one, they are fighting the wrong battle. Here we are the day after and although we were partially wrong about the referendum results we were spot on about what the aftermath would be. On top of that we were spot on about the resistance movement being a step behind if we waited for this day to come before we made a plan to deal with it. The boycott movement was shallow, and only set out to achieve a single goal. That goal was archived and we still find ourselves in the exact same position, expect we are now starting from scratch and playing catch up with SDSM who planned everything out in advance.
It was easy to get people to essentially do nothing. Maybe the coordination was impressive, but much less impressive when you realize it all boils down to convincing people to just do nothing. Now at this juncture, stubbornly doing nothing can no longer accomplish anything, not even shallow goals.
So what now? We asked that question 2 months ago, and still no answers. We are left with hoping that not enough DPMNE sellouts actually sell out, and that DPMNE wins early elections. What will that accomplish? A temporary end to the name deal, but an implementation of the language law and the Tirana platform. Even if DPMNE gain seats, they need the Albanians parties to for a majority coalition. The only reason the Albanian parties would join that coalition is if their demands are met (Tirana platform).
I wouldn't count Zaev out just yet.
He came out almost instantly with a contingency plan, that tells you that they had a plan no matter the outcomes of the referendum. He has an ace in his pocket. Either he will convince/coerce enough DPMNE traitors to agree, or they have a plan to obtain a coalition that will yield the necessary 80 votes they need.
They didn't seem rattled at all by the result, and DPMNE has been suspiciously meek throughout the process.
On top of that the West EU/USA are clearly heavily vested in this and have went too far to just abandon this now and look like idiots. They will provide political cover for Zaev at least for the time being. If Zaev has incriminating info on DPMNE, expect it to dominate the media narrative.
So there you have it folks. By being lazy and not having a real plan we have gone from the frying pan into the fire, and now our only hope is to jump back into the frying pan for a while.
The only other outside chance of salvaging anything is if by some miracle a party like Levica can take votes away from both SDS and DPMNE AND turn out to not also be traitors like the rest of them. Then form a coalition with DPMNE and force them to reform.
This is what you get when your grand plan is to act like stubborn children and thumb your nose while grownups plan your demise.
The boycott movement was successful in achieving a low turnout. The fact that 92% were yes votes is proof that their campaign worked flawlessly. You can credit it them that much. Unfortunately as we warned them form day one, they are fighting the wrong battle. Here we are the day after and although we were partially wrong about the referendum results we were spot on about what the aftermath would be. On top of that we were spot on about the resistance movement being a step behind if we waited for this day to come before we made a plan to deal with it. The boycott movement was shallow, and only set out to achieve a single goal. That goal was archived and we still find ourselves in the exact same position, expect we are now starting from scratch and playing catch up with SDSM who planned everything out in advance.
It was easy to get people to essentially do nothing. Maybe the coordination was impressive, but much less impressive when you realize it all boils down to convincing people to just do nothing. Now at this juncture, stubbornly doing nothing can no longer accomplish anything, not even shallow goals.
So what now? We asked that question 2 months ago, and still no answers. We are left with hoping that not enough DPMNE sellouts actually sell out, and that DPMNE wins early elections. What will that accomplish? A temporary end to the name deal, but an implementation of the language law and the Tirana platform. Even if DPMNE gain seats, they need the Albanians parties to for a majority coalition. The only reason the Albanian parties would join that coalition is if their demands are met (Tirana platform).
I wouldn't count Zaev out just yet.
He came out almost instantly with a contingency plan, that tells you that they had a plan no matter the outcomes of the referendum. He has an ace in his pocket. Either he will convince/coerce enough DPMNE traitors to agree, or they have a plan to obtain a coalition that will yield the necessary 80 votes they need.
They didn't seem rattled at all by the result, and DPMNE has been suspiciously meek throughout the process.
On top of that the West EU/USA are clearly heavily vested in this and have went too far to just abandon this now and look like idiots. They will provide political cover for Zaev at least for the time being. If Zaev has incriminating info on DPMNE, expect it to dominate the media narrative.
So there you have it folks. By being lazy and not having a real plan we have gone from the frying pan into the fire, and now our only hope is to jump back into the frying pan for a while.
The only other outside chance of salvaging anything is if by some miracle a party like Levica can take votes away from both SDS and DPMNE AND turn out to not also be traitors like the rest of them. Then form a coalition with DPMNE and force them to reform.
This is what you get when your grand plan is to act like stubborn children and thumb your nose while grownups plan your demise.
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